SOA EXAM/P 考題 - 金融分析師

Table of Contents

題目如下

A family buys two policies from the same insurance company.

Losses under the two policies are independent and have continuous

uniform distributions on the interval from 0 to 10.

One policy has a deductible of 1 and the other has a deductible of 2.

The family experiences exactly one loss under each policy.
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Calculate the probability that the total benefit paid to the family

does not exceed 5.

我的解法

設 X and Y ~ U(0,10)

X' = X-1 , X > 1 and P = 9/10

Y' = Y-2 , Y > 2 and P = 4/5

P(X'+Y'< 5) = P(X+Y<8,X>1,Y>2) = 0.125


而詳解是

P(0<X<6,0<Y<2) + P(0<X<1,2<Y<7) + P(1<X<6,2<Y<8-X) = 0.295

deductible的意思不是說在額度以下自付,超過的部份才由保險支付嗎?

還是我對題目的理解有誤?

還有文中標示的那段有用嗎?

thanks









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All Comments

Skylar Davis avatarSkylar Davis2011-07-30
文章的那一句話~應該是每張保單都一定有一個理賠發生
Andy avatarAndy2011-08-01
詳解:X第一張保單損失在0~5元~第二章沒損失
+第一章沒損失第二章損失在0~5元
Dora avatarDora2011-08-03
+第一章損失損失在X元(5元之下)~第二章5-X元
William avatarWilliam2011-08-06
你的答案~應該只考慮到詳解的第三個部份~前兩各沒考慮
David avatarDavid2011-08-07
那如果考慮那段話,應該要從X>1,Y>1開始嗎?
Victoria avatarVictoria2011-08-12
這種題目 畫圖去想 會是最安全的解法..
Anthony avatarAnthony2011-08-16
先從各只有一張保單賠償算起 也就是X與Y其中一個要大過
Mary avatarMary2011-08-18
deductible 再計算兩個都大過之後的情況
Thomas avatarThomas2011-08-20
你一開始是先假設兩張保單都有賠償發生 所以漏了一部分