求救!!關於資本預算的問題!! - 金融分析師

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The manufacture of polysyllabic acid is a competitive industry.
Most plants have an annual output of 100,000 tons. Operating costs are $.90
a ton, and the sales price is $1 a ton. A 100,000-ton plant costs $100,000
and has an indefinite life. Its current scrap value of $60,000 is expected
to decline to $57,900 over the next two years.

Phlogiston, Inc., proposes to invest $100,000 in a plant that employs a new
low-cost process to manufacture polysyllabic acid. The plant has the same
capacity as existing units, but operating costs are $.85 a ton. Phlogiston
estimates that it has two years’ lead over each of its rivals in use of
the process, but is unable to build any more plants itself before year 2.
Also it believes that demand over the next two years is likely to be sluggish
and that its new plant will therefore cause temporary overcapacity.

You can assume that there are no taxes and that the cost of capital is
10 percent.

a)By the end of year 2, the prospective increase in acid demand will
require the construction of several new plants using the Phlogiston process.
What is the likely NPV of such plants?
b)What does that imply for the price of polysyllabic acid in year 3 and beyond?
c)Would you expect existing plant to be scrapped in year 2?
How would your answer differ if scrap values were $40,000 or $80,000?
d)The acid plants of United Alchemists, Inc., have been fully depreciated.
Can it operate them profitably after year 2?
e)Acidosis, Inc., purchased a new plant last year for $100,000 and is writing
it down by $10,000 a year. Should it scrap this plant in year 2?
f)What would be the NPV of Phlogiston’s venture?

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